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Oregon Ducks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Oregon Ducks
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.2
PPG
67.0
Opp
+7.2
Margin
45.4%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
35.6
RPG
16.3
APG
15.0
TO
82.6
Pace
78.5
AdjO
53.9
AdjD
#25
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1166 (#78) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1270 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1091 (#74) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +25.5 (#26) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +33.3 (#32) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.827 (#61) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.4 More → 0.919 (#32) NetEff +19.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.4 More → 0.986 (#27) AdjNet +36.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.5 More → 0.987 (#27) AdjNet +37.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 53.9 More → 0.903 (#25) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 53.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.729 (#47) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.960 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.941 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 32 More → 1252 (#46) RD 111 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Montana Lady Griz W 90 - 47
2025-11-11 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 84 - 66
2025-11-16 vs Army Black Knights W 80 - 55
2025-11-19 @ Washington State Cougars W 86 - 59
2025-11-27 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 84 - 46
2025-11-30 @ Auburn Tigers W 58 - 53
2025-12-03 vs Oregon State Beavers W 96 - 73
2025-12-07 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 80
2025-12-14 vs Montana State Bobcats W 69 - 44
2025-12-18 vs Portland Pilots W 85 - 59
2025-12-29 vs Michigan Wolverines L 87 - 92
2026-01-01 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 87 - 54
2026-01-06 @ USC Trojans W 71 - 66
2026-01-11 vs Michigan State Spartans L 81 - 85
2026-01-15 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 66 - 74
2026-01-18 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 92 - 94
2026-01-21 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 60 - 65
2026-01-24 vs Penn State Lady Lions W 89 - 59
2026-01-28 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 74 - 53
2026-01-31 @ Maryland Terrapins W 68 - 61
2026-02-04 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 76 - 73
2026-02-08 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 80
2026-02-15 @ Washington Huskies L 43 - 51
2026-02-19 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 80 - 76
2026-02-22 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 65 - 72
2026-02-25 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 71 - 65
2026-03-01 vs Washington Huskies L 69 - 70
2026-03-04 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 82 - 64
2026-03-05 @ Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 68
2026-03-06 @ Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 80
2026-03-20 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 60
2026-03-22 @ Texas Longhorns L 58 - 100

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Fiso K. Fiso G 32 32.5 15.8 3.6 6.0 1.3 0.3 3.8 13.0 10.3 202 8.1 10.8 49.6 30.0 76.6 2.51 54.8 51.1
E. Etute E. Etute F 31 24.8 13.2 9.4 1.6 1.3 0.8 2.4 9.3 14.6 143 6.0 11.7 52.2 50.0 71.3 4.38 57.7 52.4
M. Jacobs M. Jacobs F 30 26.9 12.5 5.0 1.6 0.9 0.5 2.5 9.3 8.7 226 9.0 13.4 40.5 36.1 82.5 4.75 57.1 50.5
E. Mevius E. Mevius G 1 22.0 10.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 10 5.0 6.4 57.1 0 100.0 -1.43 63.5 57.1
S. Bell S. Bell G 32 31.4 7.0 2.8 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.9 6.1 6.9 112 4.5 6.0 40.2 36.4 76.5 -0.74 55.8 54.6
A. Long A. Long G 32 25.3 6.3 3.8 1.7 1.8 0.3 1.1 6.7 6.3 159 6.4 9.8 37.1 30.9 83.3 2.29 45.9 44.1
S. Rambus S. Rambus F 32 13.9 6.1 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.8 4.8 3.2 51 2.0 4.6 53.9 0 62.7 0.58 56.2 53.9
A. Tuhina A. Tuhina G 30 14.6 4.7 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 3.9 3.4 1 0.0 0.1 44.4 37.7 88.9 -0.14 56.0 53.0
A. Cain A. Cain G 32 14.8 4.0 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 3.8 1.9 61 2.4 6.1 37.5 38.3 70.0 0.4 51.4 50.4
A. Muhammad A. Muhammad F 32 10.7 3.2 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.6 8 0.3 0.8 57.4 0 76.5 -2.39 62.7 57.4
J. Williams J. Williams G 25 6.3 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.7 1.0 -14 -0.6 -1.0 42.9 37.5 69.2 -0.89 53.4 50.0
F. Tilliander F. Tilliander F 21 5.4 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 9 0.5 5.1 35.7 0 90.0 -0.45 51.6 35.7
S. Barhoum S. Barhoum G 13 4.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.2 -3 -0.3 -2.7 18.2 20.0 0 0.18 27.3 27.3
S. Wagner S. Wagner G 7 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 51 2.2 2.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 1.97 12.9 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG