Old Dominion - 2026-2027

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

71.5

PPG

70.3

Opp

+1.3

Margin

42.7%

FG%

31.4%

3P%

55.4%

FT%

46.3

RPG

12.3

APG

18.5

TO

73.1

Est. poss./game

63.9

Adj PPG

72.3

Adj Opp PPG

#251

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 943 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1005, returning -52, transfers -11, freshmen +0 More →	964 (#189)	Preseason prior 943 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1005, returning -52, transfers -11, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More →	981 (#178)	HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More →	981 (#178)	HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More →	-13.7 (#305)	HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More →	-13.8 (#306)	HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.370 (#179)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.5 More →	0.312 (#246)	AdjNet -12.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.2 More →	0.296 (#257)	AdjNet -14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 \| AdjD 72.3 More →	0.357 (#251)	AdjO 63.9 \| AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.9 \| AdjD 72.4 More →	0.357 (#252)	AdjO 63.9 \| AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.336 (#240)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.336 (#240)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 183 \| GP 3 More →	977 (#176)	RD 183 \| GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More →	0.374 (#211)	Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2026-11-02	@	Central Michigan Chippewas	W	62 - 58
2026-11-05	vs	Virginia State Trojans	W	69 - 55
2026-11-08	vs	Tennessee State Lady Tigers	W	88 - 78
2026-11-12	@	Richmond Spiders	L	67 - 90
2026-11-15	vs	Virginia Cavaliers	-	Preview
2026-11-19	vs	William & Mary Tribe	-	Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Trinity Vance	G	4	29.5	13.5	3.8	2.0	0.5	0.0	2.5	13.8	3.5	7	4	1.8	2.4	34.5	38.7	100.0	-1.54	47.6	45.5
Mia Davis	G	4	27.2	11.8	4.8	1.8	0.5	0.8	2.8	9.5	7.2	-	-	-	-	44.7	20.0	80.0	-	52.7	46.1
Riley Stack	F	4	24.2	11.5	6.2	0.8	0.5	2.5	1.2	9.0	11.2	-7	4	-1.8	-2.9	61.1	0.0	18.2	-1.94	56.3	61.1
Shadasia Brackens	F	4	23.0	11.0	8.0	1.0	0.8	1.0	3.5	9.8	8.5	20	4	5.0	8.6	46.2	33.3	60.0	0.46	50.7	48.7
Dalanna Carter	G	4	30.5	9.2	2.0	2.5	1.0	0.0	2.5	6.5	5.8	5	4	1.2	1.7	42.3	50.0	43.5	-1.1	51.2	51.9
Jaida McDonald	F	4	17.5	4.8	4.5	1.2	1.0	0.2	0.5	3.0	8.2	11	4	2.8	6.2	50.0	0	77.8	2.18	59.5	50.0
Vanessa Sepulveda	G	4	15.8	2.5	1.2	2.0	0.5	0.0	1.8	5.0	-0.5	-12	4	-3.0	-7.5	20.0	7.7	100.0	-2.71	24.5	22.5
Delaney Snyder	C	4	8.0	2.5	3.2	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.2	2.8	3.2	-6	4	-1.5	-7.8	45.5	0	0.0	-3.21	42.1	45.5
Ar'Jayla Elder	G	4	6.8	2.2	1.2	0.0	0.5	0.2	0.8	2.0	1.5	11	4	2.8	17.0	50.0	0.0	50.0	0.14	50.7	50.0
Landin Kelley	F	4	7.0	1.5	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.8	4	4	1.0	5.8	50.0	0	50.0	-1.18	52.1	50.0
Monique Phoenix	G	3	4.0	1.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.7	1.7	-1.0	2	3	0.7	7.1	20.0	33.3	0	-1.13	30.0	30.0
Monica Bottley	G	3	3.3	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	-10	3	-3.3	-37.8	0	0	50.0	-3.01	56.8	0
Talyah Harris	G	4	4.5	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.8	-10	4	-2.5	-21.3	0.0	0	0	-2.44	0.0	0.0
Kara Stricklin	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jamaya Thomas	F	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-4	1	-4.0	-85.7	0	0	0	-2.25	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

255 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Trinity VanceRiley StackShadasia BrackensMia DavisDalanna CarterVanessa Sepulveda

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	58-92	63.0	116	Riley Stack 33% (38 pts)	Shadasia Brackens 16% (18 pts)	Trinity Vance 18% (6 misses)	Mia Davis 15% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	19-57	33.3	38	Shadasia Brackens 37% (14 pts)	Mia Davis 16% (6 pts)	Shadasia Brackens 26% (10 misses)	Mia Davis 16% (6 misses)
Mid-range left	6-16	37.5	12	Mia Davis 67% (8 pts)	Riley Stack 17% (2 pts)	Mia Davis 20% (2 misses)	Monique Phoenix 20% (2 misses)
Mid-range center	0-2	0.0	0	-	-	Mia Davis 50% (1 misses)	Riley Stack 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right	4-18	22.2	8	Trinity Vance 50% (4 pts)	Jaida McDonald 25% (2 pts)	Trinity Vance 50% (7 misses)	Mia Davis 21% (3 misses)
Left corner 3	1-8	12.5	3	Trinity Vance 100% (3 pts)	-	Trinity Vance 43% (3 misses)	Dalanna Carter 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3	4-8	50.0	12	Dalanna Carter 50% (6 pts)	Mia Davis 25% (3 pts)	Mia Davis 50% (2 misses)	Ar'Jayla Elder 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left	10-28	35.7	30	Trinity Vance 70% (21 pts)	Dalanna Carter 10% (3 pts)	Trinity Vance 50% (9 misses)	Vanessa Sepulveda 22% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center	1-7	14.3	3	Trinity Vance 100% (3 pts)	-	Trinity Vance 67% (4 misses)	Vanessa Sepulveda 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right	6-19	31.6	18	Trinity Vance 50% (9 pts)	Dalanna Carter 33% (6 pts)	Vanessa Sepulveda 31% (4 misses)	Dalanna Carter 23% (3 misses)