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Portland Pilots

Also known as: Portland Pilots
Program History

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

68.7
PPG
63.7
Opp
+5.0
Margin
42.0%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
33.7
RPG
16.8
APG
17.4
TO
74.2
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
62.8
Adj Opp PPG
#130
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1173 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1082 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1068 (#100) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +3.6 (#127) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +1.2 (#153) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.555 (#150) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.7 More โ†’ 0.555 (#150) NetEff +1.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.1 More โ†’ 0.643 (#128) AdjNet +5.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.2 More โ†’ 0.647 (#128) AdjNet +5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.569 (#130) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 63.1 More โ†’ 0.523 (#146) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.612 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.603 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1098 (#122) RD 100 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Willamette Bearcats W 95 - 43
2025-11-07 vs Montana State Bobcats L 72 - 86
2025-11-11 vs Warner Pacific Knights W 107 - 26
2025-11-18 @ USC Trojans L 51 - 78
2025-11-21 vs Idaho State Bengals L 57 - 58
2025-11-23 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine L 61 - 66
2025-11-29 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 65 - 52
2025-11-30 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 73 - 58
2025-12-06 vs BYU Cougars L 53 - 87
2025-12-11 @ Long Beach State Beach W 94 - 58
2025-12-18 @ Oregon Ducks L 59 - 85
2025-12-21 @ Portland State Vikings W 98 - 53
2025-12-28 @ Saint Mary's Gaels W 63 - 59
2025-12-30 @ San Francisco Dons L 64 - 67
2026-01-02 vs Washington State Cougars W 62 - 49
2026-01-04 vs Pacific Tigers W 74 - 53
2026-01-10 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 55 - 69
2026-01-15 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 73 - 66
2026-01-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 83 - 57
2026-01-22 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 68 - 77
2026-01-24 @ Pepperdine Waves L 68 - 86
2026-01-29 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 68 - 42
2026-01-31 vs San Diego Toreros W 64 - 59
2026-02-07 vs Oregon State Beavers W 53 - 50
2026-02-12 @ Washington State Cougars W 68 - 61
2026-02-14 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 66 - 77
2026-02-19 @ Oregon State Beavers L 54 - 64
2026-02-21 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 65 - 61
2026-02-26 vs Pepperdine Waves L 63 - 70
2026-02-28 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 92 - 91
2026-03-07 vs Washington State Cougars W 72 - 62
2026-03-08 @ Oregon State Beavers L 50 - 60
2026-03-19 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 62 - 59
2026-03-22 @ Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 68
2026-03-26 @ Montana State Bobcats L 54 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dyani Ananiev Dyani Ananiev G 32 28.6 11.4 3.9 2.3 2.5 1.1 2.1 10.3 8.8 39 27 1.4 2.4 41.1 35.9 91.4 1.76 52.7 50.3
Florence Dallow Florence Dallow G 34 26.3 9.9 5.4 2.1 1.6 0.3 2.6 7.9 8.7 3 29 0.1 0.2 43.5 31.3 79.2 0.03 54.0 48.3
Lainey Spear Lainey Spear F 31 25.9 9.7 4.5 2.3 1.9 0.1 2.1 8.4 7.9 -3 27 -0.1 -0.2 45.6 20.7 51.9 -1.03 48.6 46.7
Rhyan Mogel Rhyan Mogel G 34 29.8 9.2 2.4 4.6 1.5 0.4 2.8 8.2 7.0 -12 30 -0.4 -0.6 39.6 41.9 77.2 -1.06 49.9 45.2
Nicole Anderson Nicole Anderson G 35 23.2 7.9 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.7 7.2 3.5 10 17 0.6 0.8 35.2 32.5 86.0 0.51 51.1 47.6
Julia Dalan Julia Dalan C 21 18.7 6.9 5.0 0.5 0.5 3.3 1.4 7.1 7.6 19 17 1.1 3.7 41.3 0.0 71.4 0.33 44.4 41.3
Aubrey Herrin Aubrey Herrin G 3 18.0 6.0 4.7 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 3.3 10.7 - - - - 70.0 100.0 100.0 - 79.5 75.0
Tiffany Barbosa Tiffany Barbosa G 35 19.1 4.9 2.7 1.0 1.4 0.2 1.3 4.0 4.9 36 30 1.2 3.4 43.9 31.5 70.0 1.28 55.2 52.2
Jada Kennedy Jada Kennedy C 25 12.6 4.4 3.4 0.8 0.4 1.0 0.8 2.9 6.2 25 20 1.2 5.5 65.8 0.0 62.5 -0.05 66.4 65.8
Natalie Fraley Natalie Fraley G 16 16.3 4.2 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 1.1 4.1 3.4 -10 10 -1.0 -5.2 36.4 26.9 66.7 -3.03 45.3 41.7
Brynn Smith Brynn Smith G 35 11.5 4.0 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.6 4.0 1.5 40 28 1.4 6.4 36.2 35.1 84.6 0.06 47.7 45.7
Ella Zimmerman Ella Zimmerman F 34 11.0 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 3.3 2.8 3 26 0.1 0.5 45.0 0.0 76.9 -1.36 50.7 45.0
Caitlin Monahan Caitlin Monahan G 22 5.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 35 15 2.3 21.0 41.7 30.8 80.0 0.33 53.4 50.0
Camille Dake Camille Dake G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Goundoba Diakite Bayo Goundoba Diakite Bayo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Portland Pilots players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Portland Pilots game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
Alex Fowler 2019-23 WNBA New York Liberty 2 16.0 6.0 0.0 0.5

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-05-21 Alex Fowler WNBA New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries 15 0 0 0 Box
2026-05-14 Alex Fowler WNBA New York Liberty @ Portland Fire 17 12 0 1 Box
2026-05-03 Alex Fowler WNBA Preseason New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun 15 0 2 0 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2106 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Spear21% Spear18% Mogel24% Mogel22% Anderson18% Ananiev43% Anderson46% Ananiev34% Anderson29% Anderson36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Spear22% Mogel19% Ananiev30% Mogel25% Dalan24% Ananiev30% Anderson27% Ananiev29% Anderson22% Anderson37%
Misses: who misses most here

Dyani AnanievRhyan MogelLainey SpearNicole AndersonJulia Dalan

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 292-448 65.2 584 Lainey Spear 21% (124 pts) Florence Dallow 15% (88 pts) Lainey Spear 22% (34 misses) Julia Dalan 13% (21 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 256-630 40.6 512 Lainey Spear 18% (94 pts) Rhyan Mogel 16% (84 pts) Rhyan Mogel 19% (72 misses) Lainey Spear 19% (71 misses)
Mid-range left 29-93 31.2 58 Rhyan Mogel 24% (14 pts) Dyani Ananiev 17% (10 pts) Dyani Ananiev 30% (19 misses) Ella Zimmerman 19% (12 misses)
Mid-range center 40-111 36.0 80 Rhyan Mogel 22% (18 pts) Julia Dalan 15% (12 pts) Rhyan Mogel 25% (18 misses) Ella Zimmerman 17% (12 misses)
Mid-range right 28-87 32.2 56 Nicole Anderson 18% (10 pts) Rhyan Mogel 18% (10 pts) Julia Dalan 24% (14 misses) Florence Dallow 19% (11 misses)
Left corner 3 14-58 24.1 42 Dyani Ananiev 43% (18 pts) Nicole Anderson 21% (9 pts) Dyani Ananiev 30% (13 misses) Nicole Anderson 20% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 13-46 28.3 39 Nicole Anderson 46% (18 pts) Dyani Ananiev 23% (9 pts) Nicole Anderson 27% (9 misses) Dyani Ananiev 21% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 100-282 35.5 300 Dyani Ananiev 34% (102 pts) Rhyan Mogel 17% (51 pts) Dyani Ananiev 29% (53 misses) Nicole Anderson 21% (38 misses)
Above-break 3 center 38-126 30.2 114 Nicole Anderson 29% (33 pts) Brynn Smith 18% (21 pts) Nicole Anderson 22% (19 misses) Brynn Smith 19% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right 73-225 32.4 219 Nicole Anderson 36% (78 pts) Dyani Ananiev 14% (30 pts) Nicole Anderson 37% (56 misses) Dyani Ananiev 14% (21 misses)