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Oregon State Beavers

Also known as: Oregon State Beavers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

71.8
PPG
70.2
Opp
+1.8
Margin
41.8%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
34.0
RPG
12.5
APG
15.3
TO
85.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1310 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1496 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 929 (#516) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +26.1 (#128) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +15.1 (#86) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.368 (#78) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.0 More → 0.204 (#167) NetEff -12.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.546 (#56) AdjNet +1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.547 (#59) AdjNet +1.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.574 (#124) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.727 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.697 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 32 More → 1001 (#212) RD 137 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 102 - 83
2012-11-11 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 71 - 62
2012-11-15 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 62 - 65
2012-11-16 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 66 - 58
2012-11-25 vs Montana State Bobcats W 78 - 65
2012-11-30 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 78 - 84
2012-12-08 vs Grambling Tigers W 85 - 54
2012-12-12 @ Portland State Vikings W 79 - 74
2012-12-16 vs Chicago State Cougars W 87 - 77
2012-12-19 vs Howard Bison W 69 - 53
2012-12-22 vs San Diego Toreros W 86 - 79
2012-12-29 vs Towson Tigers L 66 - 67
2012-12-31 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 84 - 59
2013-01-06 vs Oregon Ducks L 66 - 79
2013-01-10 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 62 - 72
2013-01-12 vs Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 80
2013-01-17 @ UCLA Bruins L 64 - 74
2013-01-19 @ USC Trojans L 68 - 69
2013-01-23 vs Washington Huskies W 74 - 66
2013-01-26 vs Washington State Cougars L 68 - 71
2013-01-31 @ California Golden Bears L 68 - 71
2013-02-03 @ Stanford Cardinal L 73 - 81
2013-02-06 vs Utah Utes W 82 - 64
2013-02-10 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 68 - 72
2013-02-13 @ Washington State Cougars W 67 - 66
2013-02-16 @ Washington Huskies L 62 - 72
2013-02-21 vs Stanford Cardinal L 72 - 82
2013-02-23 vs California Golden Bears L 59 - 60
2013-02-28 @ Oregon Ducks L 75 - 85
2013-03-07 @ Utah Utes L 61 - 72
2013-03-09 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 64 - 58
2013-03-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 68 - 74

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Nelson R. Nelson G 32 31.2 17.8 3.3 2.4 1.0 0.3 2.3 4.1 18.4 91 2.9 4.0 42.7 29.3 78.1 1.16 178.8 47.3
A. Gibson A. Gibson - 1 0.0 15.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 20.0 8.0 - - - 35.0 14.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
J. Weisner J. Weisner - 1 0.0 13.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 9.0 - - - 28.6 75.0 100.0 - 43.7 39.3
D. Collier D. Collier F 32 25.5 12.6 6.0 1.6 0.9 0.9 2.2 2.6 17.2 31 1.0 1.5 47.6 0 59.6 0.6 196.7 47.6
A. Brandt A. Brandt C 4 30.5 11.2 8.5 1.8 1.0 1.2 2.2 2.8 18.8 - - - 36.4 0 100.0 0.44 189.4 36.4
A. Martin A. Martin - 1 0.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 4.0 -20 -0.7 -3.1 40.0 42.9 0 -0.22 55.0 55.0
J. Burton J. Burton F-C 32 28.7 11.0 6.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 2.5 2.3 17.3 125 4.0 6.0 50.0 0 66.7 1.2 214.2 50.0
A. Starks A. Starks G 32 29.3 10.4 2.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 1.4 2.7 11.8 56 1.8 2.5 35.3 36.4 100.0 0.71 190.4 47.1
E. Moreland E. Moreland F 29 30.7 9.4 10.6 1.6 0.9 2.5 2.2 1.2 21.6 - - - 44.4 14.3 52.0 0.91 289.4 45.8
D. Hunter D. Hunter - 1 0.0 9.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
O. Schaftenaar O. Schaftenaar F 29 13.0 3.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 4.0 -28 -1.0 -2.6 39.4 40.7 83.3 -0.07 155.7 56.1
C. Barton C. Barton G 32 16.9 2.9 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.2 0.9 4.0 -12 -0.4 -1.0 44.8 43.8 0 -0.25 160.3 56.9
S. Edwards-Teasley S. Edwards-Teasley - 1 0.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 25.8 33.3
L. Morris-Walker L. Morris-Walker G 26 9.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.4 1 0.0 0.1 37.5 33.3 100.0 0.14 259.0 50.0
J. Reid J. Reid F 31 14.2 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 3.8 -1 -0.0 -0.1 35.0 0 16.7 0.02 106.0 35.0
V. Robbins V. Robbins F 21 5.2 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 1.9 -26 -1.3 -6.3 57.1 40.0 50.0 -0.56 165.0 71.4
M. Moyer M. Moyer G 5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Jones D. Jones C 4 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -14 -0.9 -5.8 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
J. Powers J. Powers - 4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 3 0.1 0.7 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
C.J. Mitchell C.J. Mitchell - 5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 65 1.7 4.2 0 0 0 0.23 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG