Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +3 (71-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Nelson * | 34 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | -0.6 |
| Joe Burton * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -0.9 |
| Ahmad Starks * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Devon Collier * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Challe Barton * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Eric Moreland | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Jarmal Reid | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
| Langston Morris-Walker | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Olaf Schaftenaar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Cobbs * | 39 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Allen Crabbe * | 39 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +6.2 |
| David Kravish * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Richard Solomon * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +9.5 |
| Tyrone Wallace * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Brandon Smith | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Robert Thurman | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Jeff Powers | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Bak Bak | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter