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Washington State Cougars 71
@
Oregon State Beavers 68
2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Washington State Cougars Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Margin 45.6% 54.4% - ✗
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - ✗

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -3 (68-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Brock Motum * 35 5-9 3-5 7-8 10 0 0 0 1 20 20 +13.4
Mike Ladd * 33 10-11 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 23 15 +1.7
DaVonte Lacy * 32 1-8 1-7 0-2 3 5 0 0 1 3 2 +0.9
D.J. Shelton * 30 2-10 1-6 0-0 10 6 0 0 0 5 11 -5.6
Royce Woolridge * 28 2-10 0-4 5-6 1 1 0 0 2 9 -1 +10.7
Dexter Kernich-Drew 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 9 3 +3.1
Will DiIorio 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 +0.3
Bryce Leavitt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7
Junior Longrus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.0

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Ahmad Starks * 38 7-13 2-7 1-1 1 8 3 0 1 17 15 +2.0
Joe Burton * 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 0 4 8 -5.7
Roberto Nelson * 26 6-13 2-5 0-1 2 3 2 0 2 14 6 +3.0
Jarmal Reid * 23 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -9.2
Devon Collier * 18 4-5 0-0 6-9 2 0 1 1 2 14 11 -3.4
Eric Moreland 30 3-6 1-1 0-0 7 4 0 1 2 7 11 -1.8
Langston Morris-Walker 21 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 +2.8
Olaf Schaftenaar 12 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 +1.5
Victor Robbins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Challe Barton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.7

* = starter