Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +1 (69-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Nelson | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Joe Burton | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Devon Collier | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jarmal Reid | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Challe Barton | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ahmad Starks | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Langston Morris-Walker | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Olaf Schaftenaar | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Victor Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Wesley | 36 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jio Fontan | 34 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Eric Wise | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J.T. Terrell | 34 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Omar Oraby | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ari Stewart | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Fuller | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Blasczyk | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chass Bryan | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter