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2012-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 93.3% 6.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% -
Margin 85.8% 14.2% -9.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lacey * 34 7-13 4-7 2-2 0 4 0 0 0 20 11 -
R. Cooper * 26 5-11 2-5 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 12 3 -
D. Pollard * 26 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 2 3 -
L. Randolph * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Gueye * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
T. Releford 29 6-10 0-1 2-2 1 5 2 0 0 14 12 -
A. Steele 23 1-5 0-3 2-5 3 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
N. Jacobs 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
C. Engstrom 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
R. Obasohan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Slaughter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nelson * 38 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 5 0 0 4 7 0 -
E. Moreland * 36 2-2 0-0 2-4 14 2 0 0 2 6 18 -
A. Brandt * 35 4-11 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 1 2 10 10 -
A. Starks * 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
J. Burton * 18 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 8 6 -
D. Collier 27 6-12 0-0 9-13 6 1 2 0 5 21 13 -
C. Barton 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Reid 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter