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Ohio State

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Also known as: Ohio State Buckeyes
Program History
Coach: Thad Matta

2011 Team Stats (37 games)

77.1
PPG
59.7
Opp
+17.5
Margin
49.4%
FG%
42.3%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
34.5
RPG
15.9
APG
10.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.7
Adj PPG
55.7
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1544 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1436 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1198 (#6) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +24.3 (#1) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +24.5 (#1) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.950 (#1) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.6 More → 0.986 (#1) AdjNet +36.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.0 More → 0.986 (#1) AdjNet +37.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 55.7 More → 0.890 (#1) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 55.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.835 (#1) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 59.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.934 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.928 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 37 More → 1431 (#2) RD 100 | GP 37

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 102 - 61
2010-11-16 @ Florida Gators W 93 - 75
2010-11-20 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 81 - 41
2010-11-23 vs Morehead State Eagles W 64 - 45
2010-11-26 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 66 - 45
2010-11-30 @ Florida State Seminoles W 58 - 44
2010-12-09 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 75 - 64
2010-12-12 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 85 - 60
2010-12-15 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 83 - 55
2010-12-18 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 79 - 57
2010-12-21 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 96 - 49
2010-12-23 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 92 - 63
2010-12-27 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 100 - 40
2010-12-31 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 85 - 67
2011-01-04 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 73 - 68
2011-01-09 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 67 - 64
2011-01-12 @ Michigan Wolverines W 68 - 64
2011-01-15 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 69 - 66
2011-01-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 70 - 48
2011-01-22 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 73 - 68
2011-01-25 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 87 - 64
2011-01-29 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 57
2011-02-03 vs Michigan Wolverines W 62 - 53
2011-02-06 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 82 - 69
2011-02-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 67 - 71
2011-02-15 vs Michigan State Spartans W 71 - 61
2011-02-20 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 63 - 76
2011-02-22 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 89 - 70
2011-02-27 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 82 - 61
2011-03-01 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 82 - 61
2011-03-06 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 93 - 65
2011-03-11 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 67 - 61
2011-03-12 vs Michigan Wolverines W 68 - 61
2011-03-13 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 71 - 60
2011-03-18 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 75 - 46
2011-03-20 vs George Mason Patriots W 98 - 66
2011-03-25 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 60 - 62

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Sullinger Jared Sullinger F 37 31.7 17.2 10.2 1.2 1.0 0.5 1.6 11.1 17.4 388 31 12.5 18.4 54.1 25.0 70.4 5.18 60.2 54.5
William Buford William Buford G 36 32.4 14.4 3.9 2.9 0.8 0.3 1.8 12.0 8.6 352 30 11.7 17.5 46.2 44.2 84.3 1.96 56.1 53.2
Jon Diebler Jon Diebler G 37 35.7 12.6 2.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.9 7.7 10.1 416 31 13.4 17.9 50.7 50.2 81.0 4.51 73.0 70.6
David Lighty David Lighty G-F 37 32.1 12.1 4.0 3.3 1.5 0.5 1.6 8.8 10.9 382 31 12.3 17.9 46.8 42.9 62.7 2.94 57.3 54.6
Deshaun Thomas Deshaun Thomas F 37 14.0 7.5 3.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.8 5.9 5.3 137 30 4.6 14.4 47.9 32.8 79.7 -1.11 56.7 52.7
Aaron Craft Aaron Craft G 37 29.6 6.9 2.9 4.8 2.0 0.1 2.1 4.9 9.7 320 30 10.7 16.3 46.1 37.7 72.7 2.27 58.5 53.3
Dallas Lauderdale Dallas Lauderdale F 37 16.1 4.2 3.2 0.2 0.1 1.5 0.6 2.7 5.8 160 31 5.2 15.3 73.3 0 30.8 0.2 69.4 73.3
Jordan Sibert Jordan Sibert G 25 8.3 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.1 34 17 2.0 9.3 29.0 25.0 53.3 -0.94 37.9 35.5
J.D. Weatherspoon J.D. Weatherspoon F 10 5.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.3 -7 8 -0.9 -6.8 50.0 0.0 22.2 -2.53 45.1 50.0
L. Smith Jr. L. Smith Jr. G 20 4.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 -22 15 -1.5 -12.9 45.0 12.5 83.3 -3.02 53.0 47.5
Eddie Days Eddie Days G 9 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.3 -10 7 -1.4 -39.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.13 8.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG