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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% -8.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -4 (64-68). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 40 6-13 2-4 5-6 9 2 0 0 1 19 16 -
David Lighty * 40 3-7 0-1 6-13 3 5 0 1 1 12 13 -
Jon Diebler * 38 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Jared Sullinger * 35 4-6 0-0 4-4 7 3 0 0 6 12 10 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Aaron Craft 32 3-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 10 4 -
Deshaun Thomas 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Jordan Sibert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Morris * 39 8-15 0-3 2-2 5 8 0 0 5 18 11 -
Zack Novak * 37 5-7 4-5 2-3 2 0 2 0 0 16 13 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 4-8 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
Stu Douglass * 30 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Jordan Morgan * 19 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
Evan Smotrycz 28 5-9 4-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 14 10 -
Jon Horford 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Matt Vogrich 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Colton Christian 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter