Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Diebler * | 40 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 32 | - |
| David Lighty * | 40 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| William Buford * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dallas Lauderdale * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Craft | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Cole * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Richmond | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B. Paul | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| M. Leonard | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter