Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.5% | 17.5% | -11.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -1 (57-58). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Diebler * | 40 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| William Buford * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| David Lighty * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dallas Lauderdale * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Craft | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Sibert | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Thompson * | 38 | 6-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 36 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Capocci * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter