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2011-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% +14.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +11 (71-60). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cammeron Woodyard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Talor Battle * 40 9-20 4-11 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 24 10 -
Jeff Brooks * 39 7-14 2-5 3-3 6 0 0 2 0 19 13 -
DJ Jackson * 35 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
A. Jones * 31 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
Tim Frazier * 26 2-8 1-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 5 3 -
Jermaine Marshall 25 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Billy Oliver 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 40 7-14 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 18 5 -
Jon Diebler * 40 5-8 3-5 2-2 6 2 0 1 1 15 15 -
Jared Sullinger * 36 5-11 0-0 5-10 11 3 0 3 0 15 21 -
David Lighty * 34 2-6 1-3 3-4 3 5 1 1 2 8 10 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 6 7 -
Aaron Craft 36 4-6 1-2 0-2 2 3 1 0 1 9 8 -
Deshaun Thomas 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter