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Illinois Fighting Illini 70
@
Ohio State Buckeyes 89
2011-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 ✓ (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% - ✓

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis * 38 8-14 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 2 0 18 15 -
M. Tisdale * 31 5-8 4-5 0-0 5 1 1 3 3 14 13 -
J. Richmond * 27 5-7 1-1 0-0 9 5 0 1 3 11 16 -
B. Paul * 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
C. Head * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. McCamey 34 5-10 4-7 1-1 4 6 0 0 5 15 10 -
D.J. Richardson 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
B. Cole 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
M. Leonard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
J. Bertrand 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Griffey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lighty * 39 8-16 2-5 3-4 4 2 6 0 0 21 17 -
J. Sullinger * 38 6-14 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 12 9 -
W. Buford * 36 6-14 1-4 4-4 5 3 0 1 1 17 11 -
J. Diebler * 34 4-5 3-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
D. Lauderdale * 13 3-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Craft 29 5-9 0-1 2-2 2 6 2 0 0 12 13 -
D. Thomas 9 2-3 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
L. Smith Jr. 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Sibert 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter