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2011-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -2 (60-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Miller * 39 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 4 2 2 2 7 11 -
B. Knight * 34 3-10 1-6 2-2 3 4 1 0 6 9 1 -
J. Harrellson * 34 7-9 0-0 3-3 10 0 0 3 1 17 20 -
D. Lamb * 31 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
T. Jones * 25 3-10 2-3 0-0 8 0 0 2 1 8 7 -
D. Liggins 34 5-8 0-2 5-7 6 3 0 3 1 15 18 -
J. Hood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Vargas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler * 40 5-10 4-7 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 16 7 -
D. Lighty * 40 5-12 1-4 1-2 2 4 1 0 0 12 7 -
J. Sullinger * 39 7-14 0-0 7-9 16 0 1 1 4 21 21 -
W. Buford * 37 2-16 1-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 9 -6 -
D. Lauderdale * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Craft 36 0-5 0-2 2-3 6 2 4 0 1 2 8 -
D. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter