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Northern Colorado

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: Steve Smiley

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

72.0
PPG
93.0
Opp
-21.0
Margin
37.5%
FG%
50.0%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
26.0
RPG
17.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.2
Adj PPG
73.9
Adj Opp PPG
#227
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 879 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 882 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 933 (#260) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -4.0 (#227) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -6.8 (#269) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.355 (#239) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.9 More → 0.361 (#219) AdjNet -4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.361 (#219) AdjNet -5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.418 (#227) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 73.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.417 (#251) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.363 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.363 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 169 | GP 22 More → 846 (#266) RD 169 | GP 22

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 75 - 89
2011-11-15 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 56 - 75
2011-11-20 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 69 - 78
2011-11-22 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 82 - 90
2011-11-25 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 57
2011-11-26 @ Southern Jaguars W 77 - 57
2011-12-01 vs Westminster (UT) Griffins L 60 - 73
2011-12-03 vs Johnson & Wales (CO) Wildcats W 98 - 66
2011-12-14 vs Denver Pioneers L 65 - 71
2011-12-17 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 72 - 93
2011-12-22 vs Colorado State Rams L 78 - 92
2011-12-31 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 80 - 64
2012-01-02 vs Idaho State Bengals L 55 - 57
2012-01-07 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 61 - 53
2012-01-14 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 71 - 70
2012-01-19 @ Montana Grizzlies L 58 - 76
2012-01-26 @ Idaho State Bengals L 94 - 99
2012-01-30 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 64 - 62
2012-02-04 @ Weber State Wildcats L 81 - 93
2012-02-09 vs Montana Grizzlies L 68 - 75
2012-02-15 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 76 - 79
2012-02-18 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 81 - 73
2012-02-23 vs Weber State Wildcats L 71 - 88
2012-02-28 @ Portland State Vikings L 74 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tate Unruh Tate Unruh G 22 28.0 11.5 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.6 1.5 13.6 -94 22 -4.3 -6.6 50.0 44.4 100.0 -2.25 386.3 62.5
Tevin Svihovec Tevin Svihovec G 23 28.9 10.3 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.1 2.3 1.4 12.8 -78 23 -3.4 -4.9 51.5 60.0 64.3 -0.76 303.9 65.2
Paul Garnica Paul Garnica G 22 25.3 9.9 2.1 2.5 1.1 0.2 2.5 0.7 12.7 -42 22 -1.9 -3.5 40.0 50.0 66.7 -0.37 617.9 53.3
Emmanuel Addo Emmanuel Addo F 23 22.0 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.3 2.0 1.0 12.6 -87 23 -3.8 -7.8 37.5 50.0 88.0 -3.01 318.6 39.6
Mike Proctor Mike Proctor F-C 22 26.4 9.5 6.6 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.5 1.1 15.4 -4 22 -0.2 -0.3 64.0 0 60.9 0.62 299.0 64.0
Connor Osborne Connor Osborne C 22 20.6 7.4 4.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.7 11.0 -51 23 -2.2 -4.4 50.0 0 66.7 -1.05 320.9 50.0
Elliott Lloyd Elliott Lloyd G 15 29.3 7.2 2.5 2.7 1.0 0.3 2.7 1.5 9.5 -26 15 -1.7 -2.6 27.3 33.3 78.6 0.38 191.8 34.1
Tim Huskisson Tim Huskisson F 23 19.3 7.0 3.4 1.2 0.5 0.3 1.3 0.9 10.2 7 23 0.3 0.7 55.0 66.7 90.9 2.87 324.1 65.0
Brendan Keane Brendan Keane C 22 9.1 2.2 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.6 -25 23 -1.1 -5.5 41.2 0 60.0 -1.15 127.6 41.2
Aaron Hawk-Harris Aaron Hawk-Harris G-F 14 6.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.9 -40 13 -3.1 -17.5 42.9 50.0 0.0 -4.59 120.2 50.0
Bryce Douvier Bryce Douvier F 15 6.1 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.0 -31 15 -2.1 -17.6 0.0 0 0 -2.87 1050.0 0.0
Xzaivier James Xzaivier James G 4 8.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.73 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG