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2012-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ward * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 9 13 -
W. Cherry * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 8 0 4 30 42 -
D. Selvig * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 12 20 -
A. Steward * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 13 -
K. Jamar * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 12 20 -
K. Henderson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. Stockton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
E. Hutchison 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Player #52197 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Wood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Svihovec * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 10 12 -
T. Unruh * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 15 14 -
C. Osborne * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 12 19 -
M. Proctor * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 4 18 25 -
T. Huskisson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 5 5 10 -
P. Garnica 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 3 2 -
E. Addo 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 4 3 -
B. Douvier 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
B. Keane 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter