Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | +12.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -2 (55-57). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Grabau * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Kenny McGowen * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Melvin Morgan * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Abner Moreira * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dejan Kostur * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Andre Hatchett | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sherrod Baldwin | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Garrett Swanson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Lloyd * | 39 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Proctor * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tate Unruh * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tim Huskisson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Hawk-Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter