Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fermin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Hanson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Eversley * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| D. Royer * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| W. Donahue | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Lewis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Love | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Odister | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Garnica * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Svihovec * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 38 | - |
| M. Proctor * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| T. Huskisson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C. Osborne * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Addo | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| X. James | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Keane | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Douvier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter