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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Svihovec * 33 4-9 2-5 2-4 6 2 1 0 3 12 9 -
M. Proctor * 29 5-7 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 0 7 14 11 -
E. Lloyd * 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
T. Unruh * 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 8 1 -
C. Osborne * 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
T. Huskisson 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
E. Addo 17 1-2 0-0 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 8 9 -
P. Garnica 16 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 2 0 4 4 0 -
B. Keane 15 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -
A. Hawk-Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 37 4-10 0-3 3-3 4 4 4 0 3 11 10 -
W. Cherry * 35 10-19 3-8 4-6 2 6 4 0 3 27 17 -
D. Selvig * 34 3-10 3-8 2-3 5 3 3 0 2 11 10 -
A. Steward * 28 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
M. Ward * 26 3-6 1-1 4-6 6 0 1 0 0 11 12 -
J. Wood 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
M. Weisner 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Stockton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
E. Hutchison 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Hutchison 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Deshields 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter