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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Program History

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

67.0
PPG
63.9
Opp
+8.0
Margin
42.9%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
65.5%
FT%
34.0
RPG
14.0
APG
15.0
TO
80.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 946 (#733) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1133 (#299) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +14.7 (#345) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.622 (#29) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.5 More → 0.190 (#190) NetEff -12.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.378 (#76) AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.377 (#75) AdjNet -4.3

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 64 - 78
2010-11-14 @ Creighton Bluejays L 70 - 74
2010-11-16 vs Alabama State Hornets W 74 - 46
2010-11-19 vs Southwestern (AZ) Eagles W 97 - 47
2010-11-22 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 74 - 66
2010-11-28 @ Pepperdine Waves W 88 - 74
2010-11-30 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 81 - 77
2010-12-04 vs Bethany College (CA) Bruins W 91 - 50
2010-12-08 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 68 - 55
2010-12-11 @ USC Trojans L 52 - 60
2010-12-16 @ Arizona Wildcats L 58 - 63
2010-12-22 vs Air Force Falcons W 74 - 63
2010-12-29 @ Montana Grizzlies L 80 - 83
2010-12-31 @ Montana State Bobcats L 78 - 86
2011-01-06 vs Idaho State Bengals W 82 - 80
2011-01-08 vs Weber State Wildcats L 67 - 68
2011-01-15 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 79 - 58
2011-01-20 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 59 - 72
2011-01-22 @ Portland State Vikings W 71 - 59
2011-01-31 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 65 - 54
2011-02-03 vs Montana State Bobcats W 61 - 41
2011-02-16 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 83 - 74
2011-02-19 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 59 - 56
2011-02-24 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 63 - 42
2011-02-26 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 71 - 72
2011-03-02 vs Portland State Vikings W 79 - 52
2011-03-05 vs Montana State Bobcats W 65 - 62
2011-03-08 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 70 - 73
2011-03-15 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 63 - 68

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Jones C. Jones G 15 34.3 19.8 4.9 3.6 0.7 0.1 2.5 4.9 21.6 - - - 40.5 18.8 63.6 - 188.4 42.6
G. Rogers G. Rogers G 15 29.7 13.0 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.5 2.3 14.1 - - - 28.6 47.1 69.2 - 239.4 40.0
E. Platt E. Platt G 15 24.1 10.6 3.2 1.1 1.4 0.3 1.4 2.1 13.1 - - - 45.2 42.9 83.3 - 236.3 59.7
S. Johannsen S. Johannsen F 15 25.1 8.7 6.1 0.5 0.9 2.9 1.3 1.0 16.8 - - - 73.3 0 41.7 - 320.5 73.3
A. Smith A. Smith F 15 11.7 4.3 2.0 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.4 0.7 6.0 - - - 70.0 0 50.0 - 240.4 70.0
D. Jones D. Jones F 12 14.3 3.7 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.9 1.0 4.2 - - - 41.7 33.3 0 - 183.3 45.8
D. Norman D. Norman G 15 17.1 3.2 3.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.4 0.5 6.2 - - - 100.0 0 83.3 - 249.0 100.0
S. Saldivar S. Saldivar G 15 24.6 2.4 3.3 4.4 0.7 0.1 1.7 1.3 7.9 - - - 30.0 18.2 50.0 - 86.2 35.0
J. Olubuyi J. Olubuyi G 15 13.1 1.5 1.1 2.7 1.3 0.1 1.1 0.5 5.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 136.3 25.0
J. Lepley J. Lepley C 14 6.1 1.4 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 2.3 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 140.5 40.0
L. Flores L. Flores G 6 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
I. Umodu I. Umodu - 3 2.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Dunn M. Dunn G 8 2.9 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG