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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 63
@
Santa Clara Broncos 68
2011-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - ✓
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 ✓ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% - ✓

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Rogers 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 15 21 -
C. Jones 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 0 3 18 27 -
E. Platt 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
S. Saldivar 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 2 4 -
S. Johannsen 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 9 18 -
D. Norman 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Smith 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
J. Olubuyi 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Lepley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Flores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Payne 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 18 27 -
M. Trasolini 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 2 2 12 28 -
B. Dowdell 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 5 9 -
E. Roquemore 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 11 9 -
K. Foster 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 13 18 -
M. Santos 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
N. Harrison 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 4 7 -
R. Cowels III 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. McArthur 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter