Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Platt | 33 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| G. Rogers | 30 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Jones | 26 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Norman | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Jones | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Lepley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Young | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Korver | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. McDermott | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| W. Runnels | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Manigat | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 18 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Ashford | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Harriman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter