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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 71
@
Northern Colorado Bears 72
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 ✓ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 24 28 -
G. Rogers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 27 30 -
S. Johannsen * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 1 6 17 -
S. Saldivar * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 2 2 11 -
D. Norman * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 0 8 -
E. Platt 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 10 10 -
J. Olubuyi 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 2 4 -
A. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lepley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Beitzel * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 23 28 -
T. Montgomery * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 6 11 -
E. Lloyd * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 4 6 -
N. Kingman * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 17 23 -
C. Kaba * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 12 24 -
P. Garnica 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 8 13 -
M. Proctor 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
T. Unruh 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Addo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter