Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Piepoli * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Singleton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| E. Rush * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 16 | - |
| B. Howard * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Anderson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Reid | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Allou | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. McCall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 36 | - |
| S. Johannsen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| G. Rogers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Norman * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Platt | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 28 | - |
| D. Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lepley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter