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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 63
@
Sacramento State Hornets 42
2011-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% - ✗
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 ✗ (24.3 off)
Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% - ✗

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -21 (42-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 23 28 -
G. Rogers 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 15 19 -
E. Platt 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 7 11 -
S. Johannsen 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 8 19 -
J. Olubuyi 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 6 13 -
D. Jones 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
A. Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 -
S. Saldivar 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Dunn 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Norman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Flores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lepley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Toles-Bey 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 7 7 -
D. Bjegovic 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 12 16 -
H. Hoffman 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
W. Jackson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 5 10 -
J. Dickson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 7 12 -
A. N'Diaye 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 4 12 -
J. Carbajal 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Groom 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter