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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 70
@
Northern Colorado Bears 73
2011-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 2 24 32 -
G. Rogers * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 19 19 -
S. Saldivar * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 4 7 -
S. Johannsen * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 4 10 -
D. Norman * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 0 1 -
E. Platt 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 5 13 -
A. Smith 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 10 -
J. Olubuyi 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Jones 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 4 4 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Beitzel * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 25 33 -
C. Kaba * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 2 14 20 -
N. Kingman * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 10 12 -
T. Montgomery * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
E. Lloyd * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 4 4 -
T. Unruh 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 9 -
M. Proctor 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 7 15 -
P. Garnica 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 9 -
E. Addo 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter