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2011-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +20 (61-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Howard * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 11 17 -
S. Reid * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
J. Allou * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
R. Singleton * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 5 2 1 -
E. Rush * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 3 6 8 -
D. Piepoli 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
C. McCall 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 12 -
C. Trujeque 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 0 -2 -
J. Budinich 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 2 9 -
C. Anderson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
T. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 11 17 -
S. Saldivar * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 2 4 13 -
G. Rogers * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 3 11 -
D. Norman * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 2 8 17 -
S. Johannsen * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 1 3 16 20 -
E. Platt 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 7 15 -
D. Jones 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Olubuyi 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 0 1 -
A. Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 9 16 -
J. Lepley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Flores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Umodu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter