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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2018 Team Stats (9 games)

67.4
PPG
78.2
Opp
-10.8
Margin
37.8%
FG%
29.5%
3P%
70.7%
FT%
37.3
RPG
15.2
APG
15.9
TO
88.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1406 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1354 (#47) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +41.3 (#32) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.961 (#24) -

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-12-01 vs Hartford Hawks W 90 - 70
2017-12-31 @ Florida State Seminoles L 65 - 103
2018-01-21 vs Duke Blue Devils W 92 - 86
2018-02-01 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 62 - 94
2018-02-11 @ NC State Wolfpack L 54 - 73
2018-02-18 vs Louisville Cardinals L 57 - 67
2018-02-25 @ Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 70
2018-02-28 vs Boston College Eagles W 69 - 64
2018-03-01 @ NC State Wolfpack L 64 - 77

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. Kea P. Kea G 9 37.6 19.9 4.2 3.7 2.1 0.4 3.7 16.4 10.2 - - - 44.6 43.4 80.0 - 55.5 52.4
J. Bailey J. Bailey C 9 34.3 14.8 9.8 0.7 0.6 1.0 2.4 14.0 10.3 - - - 44.4 0 56.8 - 46.7 44.4
J. Cherry J. Cherry G 9 39.3 14.0 3.8 5.7 2.0 0.2 3.8 12.7 9.2 - - - 31.6 26.5 85.7 - 47.6 39.5
T. Koenen T. Koenen G 9 36.2 6.1 5.1 3.7 1.0 0.3 3.1 9.6 3.6 - - - 26.7 9.7 50.0 - 30.1 28.5
L. Church L. Church G 9 14.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.6 1.9 - - - 37.5 39.3 87.5 - 59.1 54.7
J. Murray J. Murray F 9 17.9 3.6 4.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 3.3 5.3 - - - 43.3 22.2 40.0 - 46.5 46.7
J. Jones J. Jones G 9 11.7 3.1 3.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.7 - - - 29.7 0.0 66.7 - 34.2 29.7
E. Sullivan E. Sullivan F 8 6.1 1.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.0 1.8 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 56.3 50.0
N. Van Nes N. Van Nes C 4 4.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
L. Roberts L. Roberts G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Smith O. Smith G 8 4.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG