Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (37.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +38 (103-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 40 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| P. Kea | 40 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Koenen | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Bailey | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Murray | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Church | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wright | 35 | 11-18 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 19 | - |
| N. Ekhomu | 32 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| S. Thomas | 30 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| C. White | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| N. Woolfolk | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Alix | 21 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Degbeon | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Lopez | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Wilkinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter