Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Abed | 36 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. DaCosta | 35 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| D. Lee | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Harrison | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Young | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Douglas | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Douglass | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pattison | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Wilborn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lucas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Dobrzynski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 37 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Koenen | 36 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Bailey | 33 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| P. Kea | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Jones | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Murray | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| L. Church | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| O. Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter