Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 44 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 14 | - |
| H. Gorecki | 41 | 9-22 | 7-15 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 17 | - |
| E. Mathias | 40 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Williams | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Odom | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Adams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Suggs | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 45 | 15-23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 21 | - |
| J. Cherry | 45 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| T. Koenen | 43 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Bailey | 41 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Church | 35 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| J. Murray | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter