Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.3% | 15.7% | -9.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Carter | 36 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Durr | 31 | 6-17 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| S. Fuehring | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Shook | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Zambrotta | 16 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Evans | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Dunham | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 40 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Bailey | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| T. Koenen | 37 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Cherry | 35 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Murray | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Church | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter