Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 40 | 9-23 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | - |
| J. Cherry | 39 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 8-11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Koenen | 34 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Bailey | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Church | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Murray | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| O. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Konig | 39 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| K. Ealey | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Leslie | 31 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Maize | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Cassell | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| C. Nelson | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Hawkins | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Rogers | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Wadsworth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter