Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 39 | 6-16 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Bailey | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| P. Kea | 34 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| T. Koenen | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -8 | - |
| L. Church | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Murray | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 37 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 36 | 11-20 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 28 | - |
| L. Odom | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| E. Mathias | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Adams | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Faz Davalos | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Roma | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Suggs | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Treece | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter