Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +32 (94-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 39 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Koenen | 38 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Bailey | 37 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| P. Kea | 35 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| L. Church | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Murray | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 32 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 31 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| K. Nelson | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Shepard | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Patterson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Cole | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Butler | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Benz | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter