Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +19 (73-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 40 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| P. Kea | 39 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | - |
| T. Koenen | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Bailey | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Murray | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Church | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| K. Ealey | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| K. Leslie | 32 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Konig | 28 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| E. Cassell | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| A. Hawkins | 22 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A. Maize | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Cole | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Jones | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Wadsworth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter