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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2014 Team Stats (34 games)

79.2
PPG
65.9
Opp
+12.8
Margin
44.6%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
66.6%
FT%
41.6
RPG
15.4
APG
16.9
TO
91.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1385 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1357 (#27) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +39.8 (#28) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.961 (#22) -

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Air Force Falcons W 87 - 26
2013-11-11 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 65 - 81
2013-11-17 @ UCLA Bruins W 78 - 68
2013-11-21 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 106 - 52
2013-11-24 vs Coppin State Eagles W 91 - 51
2013-11-28 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 93 - 60
2013-11-29 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 81 - 94
2013-12-04 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 75 - 62
2013-12-14 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 100 - 49
2013-12-16 vs New Orleans Privateers W 124 - 41
2013-12-21 vs High Point Panthers W 103 - 71
2014-01-02 vs James Madison Dukes W 74 - 71
2014-01-05 vs Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 79
2014-01-09 vs NC State Wolfpack W 79 - 70
2014-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 65 - 61
2014-01-16 vs Clemson Tigers W 78 - 55
2014-01-19 @ Boston College Eagles W 73 - 56
2014-01-23 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 65
2014-01-30 vs Syracuse Orange L 73 - 78
2014-02-02 vs Miami Hurricanes L 80 - 83
2014-02-06 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 91 - 94
2014-02-10 @ Duke Blue Devils W 89 - 78
2014-02-13 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 86 - 50
2014-02-16 @ NC State Wolfpack W 89 - 82
2014-02-20 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 80 - 74
2014-02-23 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 47 - 50
2014-02-27 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 75 - 100
2014-03-02 vs Duke Blue Devils W 64 - 60
2014-03-06 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 69 - 65
2014-03-07 @ Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 70
2014-03-08 @ Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 66
2014-03-23 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 60 - 58
2014-03-25 vs Michigan State Spartans W 62 - 53
2014-03-30 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 65 - 58
2014-04-01 @ Stanford Cardinal L 65 - 74

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. DeShields D. DeShields - 34 28.2 18.0 5.3 2.6 1.7 0.3 3.5 16.2 8.1 - - - 42.9 28.2 76.6 - 50.7 47.1
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray - 34 25.5 13.9 5.5 1.3 1.4 0.5 1.5 10.2 11.0 - - - 48.0 41.5 72.3 - 60.0 56.8
X. McDaniel X. McDaniel F 34 26.8 11.3 5.6 1.0 1.5 0.7 2.4 8.3 9.5 - - - 47.5 41.3 61.5 - 55.5 52.1
S. Mavunga S. Mavunga F 35 24.4 10.1 8.0 1.1 1.0 2.4 2.5 7.9 12.3 - - - 51.8 9.1 57.5 - 54.0 52.0
A. Souleymane A. Souleymane C 32 14.8 6.1 4.1 0.8 1.3 0.1 1.0 4.8 6.6 - - - 50.0 42.9 71.4 - 55.5 51.9
J. Washington J. Washington G 35 18.5 5.6 2.1 2.6 0.9 0.0 1.4 4.9 5.0 - - - 32.4 32.6 71.8 - 47.7 40.9
L. Coleman L. Coleman G 34 23.6 5.4 2.2 3.2 1.3 0.1 2.4 4.9 4.8 - - - 38.7 30.8 53.7 - 46.1 43.5
B. Rountree B. Rountree G 35 19.8 4.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.8 - - - 33.6 25.3 86.8 - 47.1 41.4
N. Bryant N. Bryant G 30 11.7 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 2.3 4.3 - - - 58.6 0.0 65.4 - 60.8 58.6
H. Fuller H. Fuller F 13 6.5 2.3 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.2 2.5 - - - 66.7 0 58.8 - 66.7 66.7
E. Johnson E. Johnson F 18 7.4 1.4 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.2 - - - 30.8 20.0 66.7 - 40.0 32.7
H. Summers H. Summers F 33 6.6 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.4 1.3 - - - 37.0 0 56.2 - 40.5 37.0
M. Buckland M. Buckland G 2 15.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 1.5 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG