Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.3 | ✓ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +61 (87-26). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dillinger | 26 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. Blagowsky | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4 | - |
| K. Lujan | 22 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| C. Thompson | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Philpot | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Cavanaugh | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Graham | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Fotsch | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Gamble | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Byrd | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Jackson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Buckland | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| L. Coleman | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Washington | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. DeShields | 18 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray | 18 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Rountree | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| E. Johnson | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| N. Bryant | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| H. Fuller | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| H. Summers | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter