Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (64-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Liston | 38 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 33 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Jackson | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| H. Peters | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | - |
| O. Chidom | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Henson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. McCravey-Cooper | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. McDaniel | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| D. DeShields | 31 | 7-22 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | -1 | - |
| L. Coleman | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Gray | 25 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Washington | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Rountree | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| H. Summers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter