Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (82-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeShields | 36 | 12-23 | 5-9 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 19 | - |
| A. Gray | 35 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Washington | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Coleman | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Bryant | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Rountree | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| H. Summers | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Burke | 39 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Brown-Hoskin | 38 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Goodwin-Coleman | 37 | 4-15 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Gatling | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Barrett | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Spencer | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Daniel | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter