Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeShields | 36 | 10-25 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray | 31 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Coleman | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Rountree | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Washington | 14 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| N. Bryant | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| H. Summers | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Peters | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Jackson | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| E. Williams | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| T. Liston | 31 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| O. Chidom | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Henson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. McCravey-Cooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter