Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +33 (93-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Qedan | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Morrill | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown-Haywood | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Flanery | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Hunt | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Pipkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Washington | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Rountree | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Coleman | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| A. Gray | 19 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. DeShields | 19 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| N. Bryant | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 13 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| E. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Fuller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Summers | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter