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2013-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 15.7% 84.3% -
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +33 (93-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Qedan 26 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 -4 -
J. Morrill 20 2-6 0-2 4-4 0 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
C. Wyatt 18 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Brown-Haywood 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Wyatt 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Flanery 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
J. Hunt 7 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 -1 -
A. Pipkins 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Washington 25 2-4 0-0 6-8 5 2 1 0 1 10 13 -
B. Rountree 20 0-4 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Coleman 20 1-3 1-1 0-1 3 5 1 0 3 3 6 -
S. Mavunga 20 3-4 0-0 1-1 10 2 1 3 1 7 18 -
A. Gray 19 5-9 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 12 7 -
D. DeShields 19 10-15 2-4 2-4 4 2 1 0 2 24 14 -
N. Bryant 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 2 6 -
A. Souleymane 15 4-4 1-1 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
X. McDaniel 13 6-7 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 16 9 -
E. Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
H. Fuller 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
H. Summers 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 5 -

* = starter