Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -6 (74-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 32 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 30 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. DeShields | 28 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | - |
| N. Bryant | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Coleman | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Rountree | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Washington | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| H. Summers | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gerson | 37 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Wolfe | 35 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| F. Randolph | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| A. Franklin | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Imovbioh | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| B. Mason | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Umeri | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Suarez | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Barnette | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Garner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter