Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (62-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jankoska | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Pickrel | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Bell | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Mills | 26 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Diarra | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Powers | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| M. Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeShields | 35 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 18 | - |
| L. Coleman | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Gray | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Rountree | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Washington | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Summers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter