Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Coleman | 35 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Gray | 34 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 13 | - |
| X. McDaniel | 29 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. DeShields | 29 | 12-20 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| B. Rountree | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Summers | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Washington | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 38 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 38 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Liston | 36 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| R. Jackson | 36 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| H. Peters | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| O. Chidom | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter