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Norfolk State

Also known as: Norfolk State Spartans
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

76.6
PPG
72.9
Opp
+3.7
Margin
46.2%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
35.0
RPG
12.4
APG
12.1
TO
81.0
Pace
68.6
AdjO
80.5
AdjD
#318
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 909 (#247) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 806 (#317) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1000 (#190) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -11.7 (#316) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +2.6 (#333) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.383 (#241) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.1 More → 0.199 (#279) NetEff -11.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.5 More → 0.129 (#325) AdjNet -16.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.9 More → 0.125 (#326) AdjNet -16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 80.5 More → 0.253 (#318) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 80.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.481 (#330) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.543 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#313) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 29 More → 922 (#400) RD 137 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Washington Adventist Shock W 98 - 76
2025-11-05 vs Regent Royals W 119 - 55
2025-11-08 vs William & Mary Tribe L 78 - 81
2025-11-11 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 57 - 60
2025-11-14 @ Towson Tigers L 41 - 51
2025-11-21 vs Hampton Pirates W 62 - 60
2025-11-23 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 67 - 75
2025-11-25 vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons W 136 - 79
2025-11-29 @ Arizona Wildcats L 61 - 98
2025-12-18 @ Grambling Tigers L 68 - 80
2025-12-19 @ Jackson State Tigers W 82 - 72
2025-12-21 @ UTEP Miners W 72 - 71
2025-12-22 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 70 - 89
2025-12-28 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 54 - 63
2026-01-03 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 67 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Delaware State Hornets W 66 - 64
2026-01-12 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 70 - 74
2026-01-19 vs Elizabeth City State Vikings W 86 - 61
2026-01-24 vs Coppin State Eagles W 103 - 76
2026-01-26 vs Morgan State Bears L 78 - 79
2026-01-31 @ Howard Bison L 60 - 88
2026-02-07 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 75 - 68
2026-02-14 vs Delaware State Hornets W 75 - 58
2026-02-16 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 70 - 66
2026-02-21 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 90 - 71
2026-02-28 @ Coppin State Eagles W 75 - 69
2026-03-02 @ Morgan State Bears L 84 - 90
2026-03-05 vs Howard Bison L 76 - 84
2026-03-12 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 82 - 88

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. McComb III A. McComb III - 29 34.0 17.3 4.1 1.4 1.0 0.3 1.6 12.5 10.0 63 2.7 4.2 42.7 38.8 76.3 0.34 57.3 51.2
E. Jamison E. Jamison - 29 26.8 14.4 3.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 2.1 11.2 8.1 -50 -2.2 -4.0 43.3 27.5 80.9 -0.89 54.0 47.1
D. Ellis D. Ellis F 29 27.1 10.9 4.4 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.2 7.6 9.2 -31 -1.3 -2.7 53.0 38.5 69.6 -0.75 60.9 57.5
M. Jenkins M. Jenkins - 25 18.8 5.5 3.1 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.8 5.4 4.8 17 0.9 2.5 35.6 31.0 69.7 0.05 45.8 42.2
D. Wright-Forde D. Wright-Forde G 28 13.6 5.4 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.0 4.1 4.3 9 0.4 1.5 45.7 35.7 60.3 -0.08 53.3 50.0
J. Leaks J. Leaks G 29 23.4 5.4 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.1 1.2 5.6 4.7 20 0.8 1.9 34.2 29.4 45.7 -0.7 44.2 43.5
K. Lewis K. Lewis - 28 16.9 5.3 3.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 3.7 6.0 6 1.0 10.8 56.3 0 58.2 -0.03 58.2 56.3
J. Morris J. Morris F 29 14.5 4.9 3.6 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 2.7 6.5 36 1.5 6.5 69.2 0 58.6 -0.13 68.6 69.2
M. Baines M. Baines F 27 11.0 4.6 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.8 3.6 -1 -0.0 -0.3 68.4 100.0 75.0 -0.31 71.0 69.1
Adrean Newton Adrean Newton - 24 15.5 3.9 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.0 1.6 3.3 3.9 44 2.4 7.8 45.6 45.0 54.2 -0.1 52.5 51.3
M. Reid M. Reid - 10 4.5 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 29 3.6 46.0 57.1 25.0 75.0 0.05 63.5 60.7
Ahmad Torrence Ahmad Torrence - 3 8.3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.7 - - - 20.0 0.0 75.0 - 37.0 20.0
Yel Deeng Yel Deeng - 12 6.8 1.0 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.4 1.4 -10 -0.8 -5.3 29.4 20.0 0.0 -0.12 33.6 35.3
D. Camara D. Camara G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ryan Williams Ryan Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -60 -3.0 -11.7 - - - -0.74 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG