Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Central Eagles | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +7 (75-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore * | 39 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | -9.7 |
| Dionte Johnson * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -10.4 |
| Tekao Carpenter * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | +0.0 |
| Jae Slack * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Khouri Carvey * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 19 | -5.0 |
| Kyric Davis | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12.5 |
| Ryan Archey | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Camren Daniels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Gbenga Olubi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Ellis * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +8.8 |
| Anthony McComb III * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Adrean Newton * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5.3 |
| Jordan Leaks * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.9 |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Elijah Jamison | 29 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | +2.6 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Jaquel Morris | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.5 |
| Melo Baines | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.3 |
* = starter