Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina State Bulldogs | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -6 (82-88). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
South Carolina State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson * | 33 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 22 | -5.1 |
| Noah Treadwell * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Tim Okojie * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Derwin Hodge * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Jamal Miles * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Florian Tenebay | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +4.1 |
| James Morrow | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -4.8 |
| Cameron Clark | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Owen Bronston Jr. | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +9.8 |
| Rayniel Wright | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Christopher Parker | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Teon Tindal | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.8 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 6 | -11.3 |
| Devon Ellis * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -13.3 |
| Jordan Leaks * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +7.2 |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Adrean Newton * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Elijah Jamison | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 16 | -7.8 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Jaquel Morris | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -15.0 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -6.1 |
| Melo Baines | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
* = starter