Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | North Carolina Central Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | -1.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles +2 (69-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Elijah Jamison * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Devon Ellis * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -3.5 |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Adrean Newton * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.3 |
| My'kel Jenkins | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Jaquel Morris | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Jordan Leaks | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Dian Wright-Forde | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +1.2 |
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -5.9 |
| Khouri Carvey * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 20 | +2.9 |
| Dionte Johnson * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -6.2 |
| Tekao Carpenter * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Ramondo Battle II * | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Jae Slack | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Kyric Davis | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +7.4 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Ryan Archey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Khalil Arnold | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter